As spring training is just a few weeks away, there are still some high profile free agents that have not signed. We take a look at the top remaining free agents and take a look at their possible landing spots.
Michael Bourn
Bourn is coming off the best season of his career but still has not found himself a club. Aging outfielders at the age of 30 aren’t normally a hot commodity around the league, but Bourn has proven to be one of the best leadoff men in baseball over the past few seasons. Posting a .348 on-base percentage last season for the Atlanta Braves, Bourn still has plenty left in the tank.
Bourn is represented by Scott Boras and is rumored to be seeking $15 million per year and at least a four year deal. He has been in contact with the New York Mets, but contract talks are stalling. Other teams with interest include the Cleveland Indians, Seattle Mariners, New York Yankees and Texas Rangers.
Where we think he’ll end up
Despite Bourn’s impressive past few seasons, he is 30 and is probably in decline. GMs around the league would be crazy to give him more than four years guaranteed and Boras’ $15 million per year is laughable. His outrageous salary demands are likely the reason Bourn is still on the market.
He’s a nice fit for the Mets, and they appear to be the only team that has heavy interest in signing him. If I was going to put my money where my mouth is I’d bet he lands with the Mets on a 3-4 year deal that pays him $10-$12 million per year.
Kyle Lohse
Surprisingly, one of the best pitchers in the baseball last season Kyle Lohse has still not been signed. Lohse is coming off an impressive 16-3 season with a 2.86 ERA and 1.09 WHIP with the St. Louis Cardinals. Over the past three seasons, Lohse has produced a line of 30-11 with a 3.11 ERA over 399 innings.
Perhaps not so coincidentally, Lohse also is another Scott Boras client without a job. Another factor hurting Lohse is the draft pick compensation is attached to signing the right-hander.
The Cardinals seem to have little interest in Lohse, but with many pitchers in their starting rotation coming off serious injuries, they haven’t ruled out bringing him back. Garcia and Wainwright are coming off injuries, and Chris Carpenter likely will not pitch in 2013 and his career could be over.
Where we think he’ll end up
It’s difficult to say because there is not a lot interest around the league. The Orioles and Brewers did show some interest but would need the asking price to come down. Lohse made almost $12 million last season, and saber experts would suggest he is due for regression. He is also 34 years old. Ultimately, we see Lohse returning to St. Louis with a slight salary increase on a three year deal.
Grady Sizemore
Grady Sizemore has been marred by injuries for the past five seasons and missed 382 of the last 486 regular season games. He has not been fully healthy since the start of the 2007 season. Despite his long injury history, he is only 30 years old.
He has spent his entire career with the Cleveland Indians, who resigned him last season for $5 million. He did not step into the batter’s box once and had another knee surgery in September. He is still not fully healed from surgery but expects to be fully healthy by midseason at the latest.
Where we think he’ll end up
It’s hard to think many teams would want to take a chance on Sizemore at this point, despite his considerable upside if he should stay healthy. We look for him to find a club this year, but probably not until he is at full health. Sizemore could be a pleasant contributor for a team in need of left handed power.
Freddy Sanchez
Despite not playing a game in 19 months, Freddy Sanchez is drawing interest from many teams around the league. A career .397 hitter with a .335 on-base percentage, Sanchez won the batting title in 2006 hitting .334. He’s also plus defender at both second and third base.
Where we think he’ll end up
Like Sizemore, it is hard to nail down an exact team Sanchez might be headed to, but an in shape Sanchez could be a bargain. A versatile infielder with a proven glove and a near .300 career average is something many teams across baseball need. Despite his age (35), we think Sanchez will earn a spot on a major league roster before spring training starts.
UPDATE:
Michael Bourn signed a four-year, 48 million dollar contract with the Cleveland Indians.